Eredivisie | Gameweek 6

Sep 20, 2024 at 7pm UK

MAC³PARK Stadion

PEC Zwolle
1 - 2
AZ

Vente (66')
van den Berg (49'), Namli (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sadiq (6', 50')
Maikuma (35'), Moller Wolfe (40'), Mijnans (53'), Meerdink (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between PEC Zwolle and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PEC Zwolle

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: FC Twente 1-1 PEC Zwolle
Saturday, September 14 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: AZ 9-1 Heerenveen
Saturday, September 14 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 63.45%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 15.86%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.96%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-0 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
PEC Zwolle	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
15.86% ( -0.23)	20.68% ( 0.07)	63.45% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 51.26% (

-0.75)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.67% (

-0.73)

44.33% (

0.73)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.29% (

-0.72)

66.7% (

0.71)

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.13% (

-0.74)

40.87% (

0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.56% (

-0.67)

77.44% (

0.66)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.69% (

-0.19)

13.31% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.85% (

-0.37)

40.15% (

0.36)

Score Analysis

PEC Zwolle 15.86%

AZ Alkmaar 63.44%

Draw 20.68%

PEC Zwolle	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 4.39% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.8% Total : 15.86%	1-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.1) Other @ 1% Total : 20.68%	0-2 @ 11.06% ( 0.2) 0-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 9.9% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 7.44% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 6.65% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 3.75% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 3.36% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.09) 0-5 @ 1.51% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 1.35% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.99% Total : 63.44%