Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 51.99%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 22.91%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Sevilla |
| 51.99% ( | 25.11% ( | 22.91% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.3% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.06% ( | 52.94% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.46% ( | 74.54% ( |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.64% ( | 20.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.23% ( | 52.77% ( |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.9% ( | 38.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.14% ( | 74.86% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Sevilla |
| 1-0 @ 12.34% ( 2-0 @ 9.82% ( 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 3-0 @ 5.21% 3-1 @ 5.03% ( 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 4-0 @ 2.07% ( 4-1 @ 2% ( 4-2 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.63% Total : 51.98% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0-0 @ 7.76% ( 2-2 @ 4.58% ( Other @ 0.86% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 7.49% ( 1-2 @ 5.75% ( 0-2 @ 3.61% ( 1-3 @ 1.85% ( 2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0-3 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 1.58% Total : 22.91% |