Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 51.99%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 22.91%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.