La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 6

Sep 20, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadio de Mendizorroza

Alaves
2 - 1
Sevilla

Vicente (17'), Martin (60')
Guridi (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lukebakio (83')
Niguez (33'), Pedrosa (45+1'), Bade (75'), Salas (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Espanyol 3-2 Alaves
Saturday, September 14 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Sevilla

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Sevilla 1-0 Getafe
Saturday, September 14 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.02%) and 2-1 (7.87%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (11.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alaves would win this match.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Sevilla
40.42% ( -0.22)	29.24% ( 0.04)	30.34% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 43.33% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.71% (

-0.07)

63.28% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.33% (

-0.05)

82.67% (

0.05)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.29% (

-0.16)

30.71% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.04% (

-0.19)

66.96% (

0.19)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.53% (

0.1)

37.47% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.75% (

0.1)

74.25% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Alaves 40.41%

Sevilla 30.34%

Draw 29.23%

Alaves	Draw	Sevilla
1-0 @ 13.58% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.32% Total : 40.41%	1-1 @ 13.33% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.5% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.86% ( -0) Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.23%	0-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.55% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 1.74% Total : 30.34%