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La Liga
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La Liga | Gameweek 6
Sep 20, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Sevilla logo

Alaves
2 - 1
Sevilla

Vicente (17'), Martin (60')
Guridi (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lukebakio (83')
Niguez (33'), Pedrosa (45+1'), Bade (75'), Salas (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Espanyol 3-2 Alaves
Saturday, September 14 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Sevilla

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 1-0 Getafe
Saturday, September 14 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Alaves 1-1 Sevilla

 There have been 12 goals in the last two La Liga matches between these two sides, but we are expecting this to be a quieter affair. We are finding it tough to pick a winner on Friday night and have therefore had to settle on a low-scoring draw, which both managers would likely take ahead of kickoff. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.02%) and 2-1 (7.87%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (11.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alaves would win this match.

Result
AlavesDrawSevilla
40.42% (-0.221 -0.22) 29.24% (0.035 0.04) 30.34% (0.183 0.18)
Both teams to score 43.33% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.71% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)63.28% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.33% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)82.67% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.29% (-0.16499999999999 -0.16)30.71% (0.162 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.04% (-0.194 -0.19)66.96% (0.19 0.19)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.53% (0.103 0.1)37.47% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.75% (0.103 0.1)74.25% (-0.107 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Alaves 40.41%
    Sevilla 30.34%
    Draw 29.23%
AlavesDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 13.58% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.02% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.87% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.16% (-0.035 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.1% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.52% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.93% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.91% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 40.41%
1-1 @ 13.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.5% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 29.23%
0-1 @ 11.29% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.55% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.54% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.14% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.26% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 30.34%

How you voted: Alaves vs Sevilla

Alaves
37.8%
Draw
34.4%
Sevilla
27.8%
209
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Soumare (50'), Marcao (58'), Navas (63'), Mariano (73')
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> Preview
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4-3
Sevilla
Rioja (7'), Duarte (44'), Kike (54', 59')
Gorosabel (90+1')
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Gudelj (62'), Torres (90+9')
> Preview
Jan 17, 2023 8pm
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Alaves
0-1
Sevilla
Rakitic (48')
Mar 4, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 27
Alaves
0-0
Sevilla
Lejeune (34'), Duarte (49'), Pons (62')
Jordan (12')
> Preview
Nov 20, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 14
Sevilla
2-2
Alaves
Ocampos (38'), Rakitic (90+2')
Ocampos (45+6'), Mir (60'), Lopetegui (90+5'), Fernando (90+5'), Rakitic (90+5')
Laguardia (5'), Joselu (45+7' pen.)
N'Diaye (45'), Duarte (50'), Mendez (73'), Lejeune (89')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona98012891924
2Real Madrid96301961321
3Atletico MadridAtletico9450135817
4Villarreal95221717017
5Osasuna94321314-115
6Athletic Bilbao94231310314
7Mallorca942398114
8Rayo Vallecano9342119213
9Celta Vigo94141615113
10Real BetisBetis933388012
11GironaGirona93331112-112
12Sevilla9333910-112
13AlavesAlaves93151115-410
14Espanyol9315913-410
15Real Sociedad923478-19
16Getafe915367-18
17Leganes915359-48
18Valencia9135513-86
19Real ValladolidValladolid9126519-145
20Las PalmasLas Palmas9036917-83
> La Liga Full Table


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