Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Girona had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.