Eredivisie | Gameweek 10

Oct 27, 2024 at 3.45pm UK

Amsterdam ArenA

Ajax
1 - 0
Willem II

Klaassen (6' pen.)
Gaaei (54')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Willem II, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Qarabag 0-3 Ajax
Thursday, October 24 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Willem II

All competitions

Last Game: Willem II 0-0 Sittard
Sunday, October 20 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 76.59%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 8.52%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.41%) and 1-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.06%), while for a Willem II win it was 0-1 (2.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Ajax	Draw	Willem II
76.59% ( 0.02)	14.9%	8.52% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 47.52% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.24% (

-0.05)

36.76% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.07% (

-0.06)

58.93% (

0.06)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.07% (

-0.01)

7.94% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.96% (

-0.02)

28.04% (

0.02)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.61% (

-0.07)

48.39% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.49% (

-0.05)

83.51% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Ajax 76.58%

Willem II 8.52%

Draw 14.9%

Ajax	Draw	Willem II
2-0 @ 12.32% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 10.41% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.56% ( -0) 4-0 @ 6.59% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 3.34% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.43% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.41% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 3.55% Total : 76.58%	1-1 @ 7.06% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.75% Total : 14.9%	0-1 @ 2.79% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.56% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.15% Total : 8.52%