Europa League
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-
Julio Romao
15'
-
Elvin Cafarquliyev
15'
-
Abbas Huseynov
22'
-
Yassine Benzia
45'+4'
-
Kevin Medina
73'
-
Elvin Cafarquliyev
79'
-
Marko Jankovic
81'
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Kenneth Taylor
20'
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Kenneth Taylor
36'
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Kian Fitz-Jim
45'+1'
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Wout Weghorst
74'
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Chuba Akpom
77'
Qarabag FK vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 55.18%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 23.73% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.32%) and 0-1 (7.05%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 2-1 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result
Qarabag FK
23.73%
▼
(-8.99)
Draw
21.09%
▼
(-1.92)
Ajax
55.18%
▲
(+10.91)
Both Teams to Score:
63.77%
▼
(-0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5
65.69%
▲
(+2.63)
Under 2.5
34.31%
▼
(-2.64)
Over 3.5
43.78%
▲
(+2.91)
Under 3.5
56.21%
▼
(-2.91)
Over 4.5
25.26%
▲
(+2.42)
Under 4.5
74.74%
▼
(-2.42)
Qarabag FK Goals
Over 0.5
72.91%
▼
(-4.54)
Under 0.5
27.09%
▲
(+4.54)
Over 1.5
37.52%
▼
(-6.32)
Under 1.5
62.47%
▲
(+6.32)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5
87.47%
▲
(+4.64)
Under 0.5
12.53%
▼
(-4.64)
Over 1.5
61.44%
▲
(+8.87)
Under 1.5
38.56%
▼
(-8.87)
Score analysis
Qarabag FK
23.73%
Draw
21.09%
Ajax
55.18%
Qarabag FK
2-1
@
6.01%
▼
(-1.56)
1-0 @ 4.43% ▼ (-1.34)
2-0 @ 2.9% ▼ (-1.40)
3-2 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.59)
3-1 @ 2.62% ▼ (-1.14)
3-0 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.88)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 23.73%
1-0 @ 4.43% ▼ (-1.34)
2-0 @ 2.9% ▼ (-1.40)
3-2 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.59)
3-1 @ 2.62% ▼ (-1.14)
3-0 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.88)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 23.73%
Draw
1-1
@
9.21%
▼
(-0.96)
2-2 @ 6.24% ▼ (-0.43)
0-0 @ 3.4% ▼ (-0.48)
3-3 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 21.09%
2-2 @ 6.24% ▼ (-0.43)
0-0 @ 3.4% ▼ (-0.48)
3-3 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 21.09%
Ajax
1-2
@
9.56%
▲
(+0.61)
0-2 @ 7.32% ▲ (+1.32)
0-1 @ 7.05% ▲ (+0.23)
1-3 @ 6.62% ▲ (+1.37)
0-3 @ 5.07% ▲ (+1.54)
2-3 @ 4.32% ▲ (+0.41)
1-4 @ 3.44% ▲ (+1.12)
0-4 @ 2.63% ▲ (+1.08)
2-4 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.52)
1-5 @ 1.43% ▼ (-80.18)
0-5 @ 1.09% ▼ (-53.71)
Other @ 4.39%
Total : 55.18%
0-2 @ 7.32% ▲ (+1.32)
0-1 @ 7.05% ▲ (+0.23)
1-3 @ 6.62% ▲ (+1.37)
0-3 @ 5.07% ▲ (+1.54)
2-3 @ 4.32% ▲ (+0.41)
1-4 @ 3.44% ▲ (+1.12)
0-4 @ 2.63% ▲ (+1.08)
2-4 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.52)
1-5 @ 1.43% ▼ (-80.18)
0-5 @ 1.09% ▼ (-53.71)
Other @ 4.39%
Total : 55.18%