Europa League
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/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F46%2Fmallog.png)
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Juninho
15'
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Erik Botheim
19'
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Erik Botheim
47'
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Hugo Bolin
72'
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Ricardo Friedrich
90'
Qarabag FK vs Malmo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F39%2Fqarabag.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 53.71%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 24.73% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.31%) and 0-1 (7.27%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 2-1 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Malmo in this match.
Result
Qarabag FK
24.73%
▲
(+0.66)
Draw
21.56%
▲
(+0.23)
Malmo
53.71%
▼
(-0.88)
Both Teams to Score:
63.21%
▼
(-0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5
64.45%
▼
(-0.39)
Under 2.5
35.55%
▲
(+0.40)
Over 3.5
42.4%
▼
(-0.44)
Under 3.5
57.6%
▲
(+0.44)
Over 4.5
24.1%
▼
(-0.36)
Under 4.5
75.9%
▲
(+0.37)
Qarabag FK Goals
Over 0.5
72.98%
▲
(+0.29)
Under 0.5
27.02%
▼
(-0.29)
Over 1.5
37.63%
▲
(+0.38)
Under 1.5
62.37%
▼
(-0.38)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5
86.61%
▼
(-0.40)
Under 0.5
13.39%
▲
(+0.40)
Over 1.5
59.69%
▼
(-0.81)
Under 1.5
40.31%
▲
(+0.81)
Score analysis
Qarabag FK
24.73%
Draw
21.56%
Malmo
53.71%
Qarabag FK
2-1
@
6.23%
▲
(+0.13)
1-0 @ 4.73% ▲ (+0.13)
2-0 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.08)
3-0 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 24.73%
1-0 @ 4.73% ▲ (+0.13)
2-0 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.08)
3-0 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 24.73%
Draw
1-1
@
9.52%
▲
(+0.13)
2-2 @ 6.26% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 3.62% ▲ (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 21.56%
2-2 @ 6.26% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 3.62% ▲ (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 21.56%
Malmo
1-2
@
9.57%
▼
(-0.02)
0-2 @ 7.31% ▼ (-0.08)
0-1 @ 7.27% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 6.41% ▼ (-0.12)
0-3 @ 4.9% ▼ (-0.13)
2-3 @ 4.2% ▼ (-0.04)
1-4 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.11)
0-4 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.11)
2-4 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.06)
1-5 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 4.95%
Total : 53.71%
0-2 @ 7.31% ▼ (-0.08)
0-1 @ 7.27% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 6.41% ▼ (-0.12)
0-3 @ 4.9% ▼ (-0.13)
2-3 @ 4.2% ▼ (-0.04)
1-4 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.11)
0-4 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.11)
2-4 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.06)
1-5 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 4.95%
Total : 53.71%