/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F37%2Fwelcome-to-sports-mole-transparent-click-area.png "Welcome to Sports Mole")
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F31%2Fsports-mole-favicon-32x32.png "Sports Mole FAVICON"){kind=small}
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F40%2Fcl-header.jpg "Champions League header")
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F46%2Fqarlog.png "Qarabag")
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F29%2Flrilog.png "Lincoln Red Imps")
Qarabag5 - 0Lincoln
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 58.19%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 20.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Lincoln Red Imps win it was 1-2 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Qarabag FK would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Qarabag FK | Draw | Lincoln Red Imps |
58.19% ( -0) | 21.69% ( 0) | 20.11% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 56.21% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.15% ( -0.01) | 41.84% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.75% ( -0) | 64.24% ( 0) |
| Qarabag FK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.89% ( -0) | 14.1% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.27% ( -0) | 41.73% ( 0) |
| Lincoln Red Imps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.44% ( -0) | 34.55% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.73% ( 0) | 71.27% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Qarabag FK | Draw | Lincoln Red Imps |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% 1-0 @ 9.55% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.35% 3-1 @ 6.49% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.1% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.45% 4-1 @ 3.18% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.99% 4-2 @ 1.69% 5-1 @ 1.24% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.06% Total : 58.19% | 1-1 @ 10.14% 2-2 @ 5.28% 0-0 @ 4.87% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.69% | 1-2 @ 5.39% 0-1 @ 5.18% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.75% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.91% 2-3 @ 1.87% 0-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.04% Total : 20.11% |
How you voted: Qarabag vs Lincoln
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F23%2Fgambling-online.png "Footer logo for GAMSTOP"){kind=small}
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F06%2FGambleAware%20Secondary%20Main%20Grey.png "on February 3, 2024"){kind=small}