Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamrun Spartans win with a probability of 45.36%. A win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamrun Spartans win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Lincoln Red Imps win was 1-0 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%).

Result
Lincoln Red Imps	Draw	Hamrun Spartans
28.94% ( 0.42)	25.7% ( 0.36)	45.36% ( -0.78)

Both teams to score 52.77% (

-0.88)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.03% (

-1.28)

50.97% (

1.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.16% (

-1.14)

72.84% (

1.14)

Lincoln Red Imps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.03% (

-0.35)

31.97% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.56% (

-0.41)

68.43% (

0.41)

Hamrun Spartans Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.57% (

-0.89)

22.43% (

0.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.04% (

-1.35)

55.96% (

1.35)

Score Analysis

Lincoln Red Imps 28.94%

Hamrun Spartans 45.36%

Draw 25.7%

Lincoln Red Imps	Draw	Hamrun Spartans
1-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.73% Total : 28.94%	1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.7%	0-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 9.14% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 8.01% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.55% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.19% Total : 45.36%