Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Haifa win with a probability of 46.72%. A win for Hamrun Spartans had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Haifa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Hamrun Spartans win was 0-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Maccabi Haifa would win this match.

Result
Maccabi Haifa	Draw	Hamrun Spartans
46.72% ( 0.05)	24.48% ( -0.01)	28.8% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 56.66%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.16% (

0.01)

45.83% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.85% (

0.01)

68.15% (

-0.01)

Maccabi Haifa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.28% (

0.02)

19.72% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.27% (

0.04)

51.73% (

-0.04)

Hamrun Spartans Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.57% (

-0.02)

29.43% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.57% (

-0.03)

65.43% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Maccabi Haifa 46.72%

Hamrun Spartans 28.8%

Draw 24.48%

Maccabi Haifa	Draw	Hamrun Spartans
1-0 @ 9.42% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.06% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 3% Total : 46.72%	1-1 @ 11.52% 0-0 @ 5.8% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.48%	0-1 @ 7.1% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.87% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.77% ( -0) Other @ 3.34% Total : 28.8%