Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Haifa win with a probability of 46.72%. A win for Hamrun Spartans had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Haifa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Hamrun Spartans win was 0-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Maccabi Haifa would win this match.