UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Playoffs | 1st Leg

Aug 18, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stadion Partizana

Partizan
4 - 1
Hamrun Spartans

(Partizan win 7-4 on aggregate)

Gomes (15'), Urosevic (25'), Diabate (33'), Andrade (77')
Zivkovic (56'), Belic (60')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Guillaumier (52')
Borg (66')

Coverage of the Conference League Playoffs clash between Partizan and Hamrun Spartans.

Form, Standings, Stats

Partizan

Last Game: Partizan 2-2 Larnaca
Thursday, August 11 at 8pm in Europa League

Hamrun Spartans

Last Game: Hamrun Spartans 1-2 Levski Sofia (1-4 pen.)
Thursday, August 11 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamrun Spartans win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for Partizan had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamrun Spartans win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Partizan win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Partizan	Draw	Hamrun Spartans
35.42% ( -0.19)	25.43% ( 0.03)	39.15% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 56.11% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.27% (

-0.17)

47.73% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.08% (

-0.16)

69.92% (

0.16)

Partizan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.88% (

-0.19)

26.12% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.82% (

-0.25)

61.18% (

0.26)

Hamrun Spartans Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.94% (

24.06% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.66% (

0.01)

58.34% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Partizan 35.42%

Hamrun Spartans 39.15%

Draw 25.42%

Partizan	Draw	Hamrun Spartans
1-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.32% Total : 35.42%	1-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.42%	0-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.56% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 1.95% Total : 39.15%