UEFA Conference League

Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Jul 14, 2022 at 7pm UK

Ta'Qali National Stadium

Hamrun Spartans
4 - 1
Alashkert

(Hamrun Spartans win 4-2 on aggregate)

Prsa (55'), Freitas (63'), Jonny (73'), Dodo (75')
Borg (83'), Eder (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Yedigaryan (48')
Hovhannisyan (59'), Hovsepyan (74'), Khurtsidze (78'), Voskanyan (83')

Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Hamrun Spartans and Alashkert FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hamrun Spartans

Last Game: Alashkert 1-0 Hamrun Spartans
Thursday, July 7 at 4pm in Europa Conference League

Alashkert FC

Last Game: Alashkert 1-0 Hamrun Spartans
Thursday, July 7 at 4pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamrun Spartans win with a probability of 47.46%. A win for Alashkert FC had a probability of 26.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamrun Spartans win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Alashkert FC win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamrun Spartans would win this match.

Result
Hamrun Spartans	Draw	Alashkert FC
47.46% ( -0)	25.61% ( -0.02)	26.92% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 51.64% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.22% (

0.09)

51.77% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.46% (

0.08)

73.54% (

-0.09)

Hamrun Spartans Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.18% (

0.03)

21.82% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.96% (

0.06)

55.03% (

-0.06)

Alashkert FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.05% (

0.07)

33.95% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.37% (

0.07)

70.62% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Hamrun Spartans 47.45%

Alashkert FC 26.92%

Draw 25.61%

Hamrun Spartans	Draw	Alashkert FC
1-0 @ 11.27% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.71% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.36% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 47.45%	1-1 @ 12.18% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.61%	0-1 @ 8% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.58% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.32% 1-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 26.92%