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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 21, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Stadion Grbavica

Velez
0 - 1
Hamrun Spartans


Haskic (42'), Cosic (54')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Guillaumier (30')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Velez and Hamrun Spartans.

Form, Standings, Stats

Velez

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Last Game: Velez 1-4 Elfsborg
Thursday, August 12 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
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Hamrun Spartans

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Last Game: Hamrun Spartans 4-1 Alashkert
Thursday, July 14 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez win with a probability of 49.5%. A win for Hamrun Spartans had a probability of 26.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Hamrun Spartans win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
VelezDrawHamrun Spartans
49.5%23.86%26.64%
Both teams to score 57.06%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.46%44.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.1%66.9%
Velez Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.91%18.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.99%49.01%
Hamrun Spartans Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.65%30.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.46%66.53%
Score Analysis
    Velez 49.5%
    Hamrun Spartans 26.64%
    Draw 23.86%
VelezDrawHamrun Spartans
2-1 @ 9.57%
1-0 @ 9.38%
2-0 @ 8.03%
3-1 @ 5.46%
3-0 @ 4.58%
3-2 @ 3.25%
4-1 @ 2.33%
4-0 @ 1.96%
4-2 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 49.5%
1-1 @ 11.19%
2-2 @ 5.71%
0-0 @ 5.49%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.86%
1-2 @ 6.67%
0-1 @ 6.54%
0-2 @ 3.9%
1-3 @ 2.65%
2-3 @ 2.27%
0-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 26.64%

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