Conference League
Jul 28, 2022 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT MFA Centenary Stadium
  • Jonny 15' goal
  • Roko Prsa 30' yellowcard
  • Steve Borg 44' yellowcard
  • Emerson 44' yellowcard
  • Jonny 62' yellowcard
  • Mousa Balla Sowe 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adin Bajric 39'
  • yellowcard Dino Hasanovic 59'

Hamrun Spartans vs Velez - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hamrun Spartans

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Jul 21, 2022 7.30pm
Velez 0 - 1 Hamrun Spartans

Velez

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Jul 21, 2022 7.30pm
Velez 0 - 1 Hamrun Spartans

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamrun Spartans win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Velez had a probability of 30.93% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamrun Spartans win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.06%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Velez win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamrun Spartans would win this match.

Result

Hamrun Spartans 46.18%
Draw 22.89% (+0.01)
Velez 30.93% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.65% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.79% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 37.21% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 40.58% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 59.41% (+0.03)

Hamrun Spartans Goals

Over 0.5 83.45% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 16.54% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 53.69% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 46.3% (+0.02)

Velez Goals

Over 0.5 76.27% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 23.73% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 42.14% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 57.86% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Hamrun Spartans 46.18%
Draw 22.88%
Velez 30.93%
Hamrun Spartans
2-1 @ 9.14% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.06% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.35% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.48% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.94% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.81% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.47%
4-2 @ 1.77% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.71%
Other @ 4.44%
Total : 46.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.15%
2-2 @ 6.57% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.93% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.89% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.88%
Velez
1-2 @ 7.31%
0-1 @ 5.65% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.06% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.5% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.15% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.95% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.13% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 30.93%

Head to Head

Conference League
Jul 21, 2022 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Grbavica
  • Nermin Haskic 42' yellowcard
  • Mehmed Cosic 54' yellowcard
  • goal Matthew Guillaumier 30'