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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 28, 2022 at 7pm UK
MFA Centenary Stadium

Hamrun Spartans
1 - 0
Velez

Jonny (15')
Prsa (30'), Borg (44'), Emerson (44'), Jonny (62'), Balla Sowe (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bajric (39'), Hasanovic (59')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Hamrun Spartans and Velez.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hamrun Spartans

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Last Game: Velez 0-1 Hamrun Spartans
Thursday, July 21 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
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Velez

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Last Game: Velez 0-1 Hamrun Spartans
Thursday, July 21 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamrun Spartans win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Velez had a probability of 30.93% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamrun Spartans win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.06%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Velez win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamrun Spartans would win this match.

Result
Hamrun SpartansDrawVelez
46.18%22.89% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)30.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 63.65% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.79% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)37.21% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.58% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)59.41% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Hamrun Spartans Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.45% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)16.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.69% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)46.3% (0.012 0.01)
Velez Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.27% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)23.73% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.14% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)57.86% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Hamrun Spartans 46.18%
    Velez 30.93%
    Draw 22.88%
Hamrun SpartansDrawVelez
2-1 @ 9.14% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 7.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 6.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.48% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.94% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.81% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.47%
4-2 @ 1.77% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.71%
Other @ 4.44%
Total : 46.18%
1-1 @ 10.15%
2-2 @ 6.57% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 3.93% (0.004 0)
3-3 @ 1.89% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.88%
1-2 @ 7.31%
0-1 @ 5.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 3.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.95% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.13% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 30.93%

Head to Head
Jul 21, 2022 7.30pm
Velez
0-1
Hamrun Spartans

Haskic (42'), Cosic (54')
Guillaumier (30')