Champions League

Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Jul 11, 2023 at 7pm UK

MFA Centenary Stadium

Hamrun Spartans
0 - 4
Maccabi Haifa

(Maccabi Haifa win 6-1 on aggregate)

FT(HT: 0-2)

Pierrot (41', 57'), David (45+3'), Khalaili (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Hamrun Spartans and Maccabi Haifa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hamrun Spartans

Last Game: Hamrun Spartans 3-3 Partizan
Thursday, August 25 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

Maccabi Haifa

Last Game: Maccabi Haifa 1-6 Benfica
Wednesday, November 2 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamrun Spartans win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Maccabi Haifa had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamrun Spartans win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Maccabi Haifa win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Maccabi Haifa would win this match.

Result
Hamrun Spartans	Draw	Maccabi Haifa
37.34% ( 0.36)	27.3% ( -0.46)	35.36% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 49.92% (

1.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.39% (

1.74)

55.6% (

-1.75)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.23% (

1.41)

76.77% (

-1.41)

Hamrun Spartans Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.26% (

1.07)

28.74% (

-1.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.43% (

1.31)

64.57% (

-1.32)

Maccabi Haifa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.05% (

0.92)

29.95% (

-0.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.94% (

1.1)

66.06% (

-1.1)

Score Analysis

Hamrun Spartans 37.34%

Maccabi Haifa 35.35%

Draw 27.3%

Hamrun Spartans	Draw	Maccabi Haifa
1-0 @ 10.73% ( -0.41) 2-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.65% Total : 37.34%	1-1 @ 12.94% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.6) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.21) Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.3%	0-1 @ 10.37% ( -0.44) 1-2 @ 7.8% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.38% Total : 35.35%