UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Aug 17, 2023 at 5pm UK

Victoria Stadium

Lincoln
1 - 3
KF Ballkani

(KF Ballkani win 5-1 on aggregate)

Juanpe (66')
Juanfri (73'), Gomez (81')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Korenica (48'), Kuc (64'), Zyba (90+8')

Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Lincoln Red Imps and KF Ballkani.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln Red Imps

Last Game: KF Ballkani 2-0 Lincoln
Thursday, August 10 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League

KF Ballkani

Last Game: KF Ballkani 2-0 Lincoln
Thursday, August 10 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KF Ballkani win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a KF Ballkani win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Lincoln Red Imps win was 1-0 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KF Ballkani would win this match.

Result
Lincoln Red Imps	Draw	KF Ballkani
34% ( 1.16)	26.34% ( 0.03)	39.66% ( -1.2)

Both teams to score 52.8% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.12% (

0.11)

51.88% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.37% (

0.1)

73.63% (

-0.09)

Lincoln Red Imps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.03% (

0.81)

28.97% (

-0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.14% (

0.99)

64.86% (

-0.99)

KF Ballkani Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.33% (

-0.58)

25.67% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.42% (

-0.8)

60.58% (

0.8)

Score Analysis

Lincoln Red Imps 34%

KF Ballkani 39.65%

Draw 26.33%

Lincoln Red Imps	Draw	KF Ballkani
1-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 3.21% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.58% Total : 34%	1-1 @ 12.52% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.33%	0-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 8.52% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 6.88% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.41% Total : 39.65%