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UEFA Conference League

Larne
Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 3, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Inver Park
Ballkani

Larne
1 - 4
KF Ballkani

Bonis (60' pen.)
Thomson (26'), Gordon (35'), Farquhar (39'), Donnelly (45'), Westendorf (64')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Gripshi (27', 36'), Rrahmani (46'), Kryeziu (66')
Zyba (26')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Larne and KF Ballkani.

Form, Standings, Stats

Larne

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: KF Ballkani 3-0 Larne
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League

KF Ballkani

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: KF Ballkani 3-0 Larne
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Ballymena0nan
2Carrick0nan
3Cliftonville0nan
4Coleraine0nan
5Crusaders0nan
6Dungannon0nan
7Glenavon0nan
8Glentoran0nan
9Larne0nan
10Linfield0nan
11Loughgall0nan
12Newry City AFC0nan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for KF Ballkani had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest KF Ballkani win was 0-1 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
LarneDrawKF Ballkani
41.27% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)28.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)30.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 45.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.31% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)60.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.24% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)80.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.07% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)28.93% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)64.81% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
KF Ballkani Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.9% (0.0049999999999955 0)36.09% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.12% (0.004999999999999 0)72.88% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
Score Analysis
    Larne 41.27%
    KF Ballkani 30.28%
    Draw 28.43%
LarneDrawKF Ballkani
1-0 @ 12.95%
2-1 @ 8.19% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.03% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 3.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 3.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.72%
4-1 @ 1.05% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 41.27%
1-1 @ 13.19%
0-0 @ 10.44%
2-2 @ 4.17%
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.43%
0-1 @ 10.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.72% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.42% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.28%
0-3 @ 1.84% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 30.28%

Head to Head
Jul 25, 2023 7.45pm
Second Qualifying Round 1st Leg
KF Ballkani
3-0
Larne
Gripshi (58'), Dellova (62'), Kryeziu (65')
Thomson (69'), Want (82')