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UEFA Conference League

Ballkani
Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadiumi i qytetit Suhareke
Lincoln Red Imps

KF Ballkani
2 - 0
Lincoln

Korenica (59'), Trashi (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Yahaya (42'), Casciaro (72')
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between KF Ballkani and Lincoln Red Imps.

Form, Standings, Stats

KF Ballkani

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Last Game: Larne 1-4 KF Ballkani
Thursday, August 3 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Lincoln Red Imps

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Qarabag 4-0 Lincoln
Wednesday, July 19 at 5pm in Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KF Ballkani win with a probability of 50.43%. A win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 25.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a KF Ballkani win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Lincoln Red Imps win was 0-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KF Ballkani would win this match.

Result
KF BallkaniDrawLincoln Red Imps
50.43% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)24.42%25.15% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
Both teams to score 53.79% (0.055 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.81% (0.043999999999997 0.04)48.18% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.66% (0.039999999999999 0.04)70.34% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
KF Ballkani Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.87% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)19.12% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.24% (-0.012 -0.01)50.76% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Lincoln Red Imps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.51% (0.073999999999998 0.07)33.48% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.88% (0.081 0.08)70.12% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    KF Ballkani 50.43%
    Lincoln Red Imps 25.15%
    Draw 24.41%
KF BallkaniDrawLincoln Red Imps
1-0 @ 10.59% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 8.76% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.29% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 4.83% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 50.43%
1-1 @ 11.58% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.4% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.41%
0-1 @ 7.01%
1-2 @ 6.34% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.83% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.31% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.4% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 25.15%

How you voted: KF Ballkani vs Lincoln

KF Ballkani
85.7%
Draw
7.1%
Lincoln Red Imps
7.1%
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