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UEFA Conference League

Dinamo Tbilisi
Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 3, 2023 at 5pm UK
Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena

Dinamo Tbilisi
0 - 1
Hamrun Spartans


Osei (37')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Djuranovic (45+2')
Marchetti (89')
Djuranovic (45')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Dinamo Tbilisi and Hamrun Spartans.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dinamo Tbilisi

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Last Game: Hamrun Spartans 2-1 Dinamo Tbilisi
Tuesday, July 25 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
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Hamrun Spartans

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Last Game: Hamrun Spartans 2-1 Dinamo Tbilisi
Tuesday, July 25 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamrun Spartans win with a probability of 37.07%. A win for Dinamo Tbilisi had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamrun Spartans win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Dinamo Tbilisi win was 1-0 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hamrun Spartans in this match.

Result
Dinamo TbilisiDrawHamrun Spartans
36.75% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)26.18% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)37.07% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Both teams to score 53.63% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.06% (0.061 0.06)50.94% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.19% (0.052 0.05)72.81% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Dinamo Tbilisi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.14% (0.0049999999999955 0)26.86% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.83% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)62.17% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Hamrun Spartans Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.33% (0.057000000000002 0.06)26.67% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.08% (0.076999999999998 0.08)61.92% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Dinamo Tbilisi 36.75%
    Hamrun Spartans 37.07%
    Draw 26.17%
Dinamo TbilisiDrawHamrun Spartans
1-0 @ 9.42% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 6.19% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.71% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.18%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 36.75%
1-1 @ 12.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.16% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.41% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.17%
0-1 @ 9.47% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.22% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.26% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.62% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.76% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.38% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.2% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.91% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 37.07%

How you voted: Dinamo Tbilisi vs Hamrun Spartans

Dinamo Tbilisi
73.3%
Draw
20.0%
Hamrun Spartans
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Jul 25, 2023 7pm
Second Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Hamrun Spartans
2-1
Dinamo Tbilisi
Freitas da Silva (39'), Eder (59'), Prsa (74'), Jonny (90+2'), Mbong (90+9')
Tabidze (13'), Kharaishvili (63'), Loria (67'), Oulad Omar (70'), Margvelashvili (79')