Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamrun Spartans win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 30.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamrun Spartans win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Lincoln Red Imps win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Hamrun Spartans	Draw	Lincoln Red Imps
43.67% ( 0.02)	26.21% ( 0.05)	30.12% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 51.82% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.5% (

-0.24)

52.5% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.83% (

-0.21)

74.17% (

0.21)

Hamrun Spartans Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.1% (

-0.1)

23.9% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.9% (

-0.14)

58.1% (

0.14)

Lincoln Red Imps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.1% (

-0.17)

31.9% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.65% (

-0.2)

68.35% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Hamrun Spartans 43.66%

Lincoln Red Imps 30.12%

Draw 26.21%

Hamrun Spartans	Draw	Lincoln Red Imps
1-0 @ 10.91% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.73% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 43.66%	1-1 @ 12.46% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.21%	0-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.12% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.98% 1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.76% Total : 30.12%