UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Aug 10, 2023 at 6.30pm UK

Ta'Qali National Stadium

Hamrun Spartans
1 - 6
Ferencvaros

(Ferencvaros win 8-2 on aggregate)

Montebello (89')
Prsa (31'), Nenov (37'), Borg (65'), Montebello (70')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Abu Fani (3'), Zachariassen (51'), Varga (53', 56', 65'), Kwabena (90')
Makreckis (45')

Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Hamrun Spartans and Ferencvaros.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hamrun Spartans

Last Game: Dinamo Tbilisi 0-1 Hamrun Spartans
Thursday, August 3 at 5pm in Europa Conference League

Ferencvaros

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Fehervar 3-5 Ferencvaros
Sunday, August 6 at 4.45pm in Hungarian NB I

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Hamrun Spartans had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Hamrun Spartans win was 1-0 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.

Result
Hamrun Spartans	Draw	Ferencvaros
32.47%	27.79%	39.74%

Both teams to score 47.96%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.16%

57.84%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.44%

78.56%

Hamrun Spartans Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.01%

33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.42%

69.58%

Ferencvaros Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.58%

28.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.82%

64.18%

Score Analysis

Hamrun Spartans 32.46%

Ferencvaros 39.73%

Draw 27.79%

Hamrun Spartans	Draw	Ferencvaros
1-0 @ 10.39% 2-1 @ 7.25% 2-0 @ 5.77% 3-1 @ 2.68% 3-0 @ 2.13% 3-2 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.55% Total : 32.46%	1-1 @ 13.08% 0-0 @ 9.38% 2-2 @ 4.56% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.79%	0-1 @ 11.79% 1-2 @ 8.23% 0-2 @ 7.42% 1-3 @ 3.45% 0-3 @ 3.11% 2-3 @ 1.91% 1-4 @ 1.09% 0-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.76% Total : 39.73%