/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F29%2Flrilog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F46%2Fqarlog.png)
-
Ethan Britto
72'
-
Graeme Torilla
74'
-
Juninho
45'+2'
-
Tural Bayramov
75'
Lincoln Red Imps vs Qarabag FK - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F29%2Fbernardo-lopes.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 50.47%. A win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 26.52% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Lincoln Red Imps win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Qarabag FK would win this match.
Result
Lincoln Red Imps
26.52%
▼
(-3.23)
Draw
23.01%
▼
(-0.30)
Qarabag FK
50.47%
▲
(+3.53)
Both Teams to Score:
59.86%
▼
(-1.52)
Goals
Over 2.5
59.21%
▼
(-0.89)
Under 2.5
40.79%
▲
(+0.90)
Over 3.5
36.82%
▼
(-0.92)
Under 3.5
63.18%
▲
(+0.92)
Over 4.5
19.65%
▼
(-0.71)
Under 4.5
80.35%
▲
(+0.71)
Lincoln Red Imps Goals
Over 0.5
71.53%
▼
(-2.68)
Under 0.5
28.47%
▲
(+2.69)
Over 1.5
35.76%
▼
(-3.50)
Under 1.5
64.24%
▲
(+3.51)
Qarabag FK Goals
Over 0.5
83.68%
▲
(+0.98)
Under 0.5
16.32%
▼
(-0.98)
Over 1.5
54.1%
▲
(+1.74)
Under 1.5
45.9%
▼
(-1.74)
Score analysis
Lincoln Red Imps
26.52%
Draw
23.01%
Qarabag FK
50.47%
Lincoln Red Imps
2-1
@
6.65%
▼
(-0.54)
1-0 @ 5.84% ▼ (-0.21)
2-0 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.43)
3-1 @ 2.78% ▼ (-0.47)
3-2 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.33)
3-0 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.32)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 26.52%
1-0 @ 5.84% ▼ (-0.21)
2-0 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.43)
3-1 @ 2.78% ▼ (-0.47)
3-2 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.33)
3-0 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.32)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 26.52%
Draw
1-1
@
10.58%
▼
(-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.02% ▼ (-0.29)
0-0 @ 4.65% ▲ (+0.19)
3-3 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.01%
2-2 @ 6.02% ▼ (-0.29)
0-0 @ 4.65% ▲ (+0.19)
3-3 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.01%
Qarabag FK
1-2
@
9.59%
▲
(+0.29)
0-1 @ 8.42% ▲ (+0.60)
0-2 @ 7.64% ▲ (+0.77)
1-3 @ 5.8% ▲ (+0.36)
0-3 @ 4.61% ▲ (+0.60)
2-3 @ 3.64% ▼ (-0.05)
1-4 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.24)
0-4 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.33)
2-4 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 4.4%
Total : 50.47%
0-1 @ 8.42% ▲ (+0.60)
0-2 @ 7.64% ▲ (+0.77)
1-3 @ 5.8% ▲ (+0.36)
0-3 @ 4.61% ▲ (+0.60)
2-3 @ 3.64% ▼ (-0.05)
1-4 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.24)
0-4 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.33)
2-4 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 4.4%
Total : 50.47%