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Champions League

Dinamo Zagreb
Champions League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 20, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadion Maksimir
Qarabag

Dinamo Zagreb
3 - 0
Qarabag

Pjaca (30'), Kulenovic (75', 80')
Sucic (56'), Kulenovic (69'), Jakirovic (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Romao (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Dinamo Zagreb and Qarabag FK, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dinamo Zagreb

All competitions
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 3-0 Sibenik
Friday, August 16 at 8pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Qarabag FK

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Ludogorets 2-7 Qarabag
Tuesday, August 13 at 7pm in Champions League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Dinamo Zagreb103.33Kulenovic
2Rijeka82.67Ivanovic
3Hajduk Split51.67Livaja
4Osijek41.33Jugovic
5Sibenik41.33Agyemang
6Gorica31.00Kapulica
7NK Lokomotiva31.00Cop
8Slaven Koprivnica31.00Butic
9Istra 196120.67Maresic
10Varazdin10.33Mitrovski

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 51.75%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 24.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 1-2 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Zagreb would win this match.

Result
Dinamo ZagrebDrawQarabag FK
51.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)23.44% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)24.81% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.64% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.74% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)44.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)66.64% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Dinamo Zagreb Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.87% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)17.13% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)47.36% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Qarabag FK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.35% (0.010999999999996 0.01)31.65% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.94% (0.013999999999999 0.01)68.06% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Dinamo Zagreb 51.75%
    Qarabag FK 24.81%
    Draw 23.44%
Dinamo ZagrebDrawQarabag FK
2-1 @ 9.71%
1-0 @ 9.57% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 8.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.71%
3-0 @ 4.96% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.52%
4-0 @ 2.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.45%
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 51.75%
1-1 @ 11%
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 5.42% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.44%
1-2 @ 6.33% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 6.24% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 3.59% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 24.81%

How you voted: Dinamo Zagreb vs Qarabag

Dinamo Zagreb
51.2%
Draw
30.9%
Qarabag FK
17.9%
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