Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 65.67%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 15.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.01%), while for a NK Istra 1961 win it was 1-2 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Zagreb would win this match.