Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 34
May 12, 2024 at 6.10pm UK
Stadion Aldo Drosina

Istra 1961
1 - 1
Hajduk Split

Lawal (4')
Blagojevic (37'), Majstorovic (45+4'), Calusic (53')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Perisic (42')
Karoglan (2'), Moufi (45+4'), Sigur (71'), Cuic (79')
Tramezzani (0')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between NK Istra 1961 and Hajduk Split.

Form, Standings, Stats

NK Istra 1961

All competitions
Last Game: Rudes 1-3 Istra 1961
Friday, May 3 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Hajduk Split

All competitions
Last Game: Hajduk Split 0-1 Varazdin
Sunday, May 5 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 59.7%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 16.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.55%) and 1-2 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a NK Istra 1961 win it was 1-0 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
NK Istra 1961DrawHajduk Split
16.28% (0.081999999999997 0.08)24.03% (0.021999999999998 0.02)59.7% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)
Both teams to score 42.35% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.2% (0.033000000000001 0.03)56.79% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.27% (0.024999999999999 0.02)77.73% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
NK Istra 1961 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.18% (0.13 0.13)47.82% (-0.133 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.9% (0.093 0.09)83.1% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)
Hajduk Split Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.16% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)18.84% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.71% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)50.29% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    NK Istra 1961 16.28%
    Hajduk Split 59.69%
    Draw 24.02%
NK Istra 1961DrawHajduk Split
1-0 @ 6.65% (0.016 0.02)
2-1 @ 4.09% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 2.45% (0.015 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.01% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 16.28%
1-1 @ 11.09% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.01% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.42% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 24.02%
0-1 @ 15.03% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 12.55% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.26% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 6.98% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 5.15%
0-4 @ 2.91% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-5 @ 0.97% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 59.69%

Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 4.10pm
Gameweek 25
Hajduk Split
1-0
Istra 1961
Krovinovic (48')
Sigur (82'), Pukstas (90+7')

Kadusic (25'), Blagojevic (83'), Erceg (84')
Blagojevic (83')
Nov 26, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 16
Istra 1961
0-2
Hajduk Split

Erceg (39'), Vuk (51'), Kadusic (55'), Devetak (90+2')
Sahiti (16'), Livaja (90' pen.)
Livaja (27'), Kalik (90+3')
Sep 2, 2023 8.05pm
Gameweek 7
Hajduk Split
0-1
Istra 1961

Dolcek (84'), Sarlija (90+1')
Lisica (90+11')
Blagojevic (16'), Mlinar (68'), Erceg (78'), Valincic (90+14')