Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 70.42%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Rudes had a probability of 11.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a Rudes win it was 0-1 (3.9%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hajduk Split would win this match.