Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 32
Apr 27, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stadion Andelko Herjavec
Dinamo Zagreb

Varazdin
0 - 1
Dinamo Zagreb


Postonjski (43'), Nekic (51')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Vidovic (46')
Spikic (20'), Brodic (90+1')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between NK Varazdin and Dinamo Zagreb.

Form, Standings, Stats

NK Varazdin

All competitions
Last Game: Rudes 0-2 Varazdin
Monday, April 22 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Dinamo Zagreb

All competitions
Last Game: NK Lokomotiva 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb
Sunday, April 21 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 72.58%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for NK Varazdin had a probability of 9.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.98%) and 0-3 (10.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.37%), while for a NK Varazdin win it was 1-0 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Zagreb would win this match.

Result
NK VarazdinDrawDinamo Zagreb
9.64% (0.0351 0.04)17.78% (0.048000000000002 0.05)72.58% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Both teams to score 42.12% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.48% (-0.107 -0.11)46.52% (0.109 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.2% (-0.102 -0.1)68.8% (0.10300000000001 0.1)
NK Varazdin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.54% (0.00099999999999767 0)52.46% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.7% (0.004999999999999 0)86.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Dinamo Zagreb Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.61% (-0.050000000000011 -0.05)11.39% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.87% (-0.113 -0.11)36.13% (0.114 0.11)
Score Analysis
    NK Varazdin 9.64%
    Dinamo Zagreb 72.58%
    Draw 17.78%
NK VarazdinDrawDinamo Zagreb
1-0 @ 3.85% (0.018 0.02)
2-1 @ 2.7% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 1.24% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 9.64%
1-1 @ 8.37% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.97% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 2.93% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 17.78%
0-2 @ 14.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 12.98% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-3 @ 10.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.1% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 6.59% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 5.55% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
1-4 @ 3.58% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-5 @ 2.41% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-5 @ 1.56% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 72.58%

Head to Head
Apr 17, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 5
Dinamo Zagreb
2-1
Varazdin
Baturina (26'), Vidovic (53')
Perkovic (37'), Ademi (82')
Drozdek (72')
Lusavec (42'), Borsic (59')
Jelenic (64')
Feb 18, 2024 4.10pm
Gameweek 23
Dinamo Zagreb
1-0
Varazdin
Petkovic (18' pen.)

Lusavec (62'), Mitrovski (69'), Vukcevic (90')
Nov 5, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 14
Varazdin
1-1
Dinamo Zagreb
Ristovski (54' og.)
Vukcevic (38'), Pilj (68'), Mitrovski (83')
Madatov (90+4')
Theophile-Catherine (44'), Kaneko (71')