Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 55.76%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 20.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Le Havre win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.