Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14

Dec 7, 2024 at 6pm UK

Allianz Riviera

Nice
2 - 1
Le Havre

Laborde (55' pen.), Bouanani (75')
Boudaoui (64'), Ndombele (86'), Guessand (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lloris (90+2')
Lloris (82'), Pembele (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Le Havre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nice

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lyon 4-1 Nice
Sunday, December 1 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Le Havre

All competitions

Last Game: Le Havre 0-1 Angers
Sunday, December 1 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 55.76%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 20.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Le Havre win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.

Result
Nice	Draw	Le Havre
55.76% ( 0.02)	24% ( 0.16)	20.24% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 49.04% (

-0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.52% (

-0.83)

51.48% (

0.83)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.72% (

-0.73)

73.28% (

0.73)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.68% (

-0.3)

18.32% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.59% (

-0.52)

49.41% (

0.52)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.04% (

-0.66)

39.96% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.39% (

-0.61)

76.61% (

0.61)

Score Analysis

Nice 55.76%

Le Havre 20.24%

Draw 23.99%

Nice	Draw	Le Havre
1-0 @ 12.42% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 10.54% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.26% Total : 55.76%	1-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.85% Total : 23.99%	0-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.32% Total : 20.24%