Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 8

Oct 20, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stade Oceane

Le Havre
0 - 4
Lyon

Nego (6'), Toure (18'), Casimir (36')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Vinicius (32'), Fofana (57'), Lacazette (71'), Benrahma (87')
Cherki (35'), Caqueret (36'), Tolisso (47'), Nuamah (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Le Havre and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Havre

All competitions

Last Game: Brest 2-0 Le Havre
Sunday, October 6 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Lyon

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lyon 2-0 Nantes
Sunday, October 6 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 52.6%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 23.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.75%) and 0-2 (8.75%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 1-0 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
Le Havre	Draw	Lyon
23.95% ( -0.36)	23.45% ( 0.06)	52.6% ( 0.3)

Both teams to score 55.68% (

-0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.91% (

-0.59)

45.09% (

0.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.57% (

-0.57)

67.43% (

0.57)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.19% (

-0.63)

32.81% (

0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.62% (

-0.7)

69.38% (

0.71)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.87% (

-0.11)

17.13% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.65% (

-0.19)

47.34% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Le Havre 23.95%

Lyon 52.6%

Draw 23.45%

Le Havre	Draw	Lyon
1-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 6.16% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.45% Total : 23.95%	1-1 @ 11.05% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.45%	0-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 9.75% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.75% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 5.74% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.15% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 2.53% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.27% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.9% Total : 52.6%