Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 7

Oct 6, 2024 at 4pm UK

Stade Francis-Le Ble

Brest
2 - 0
Le Havre

Ajorque (12'), Salah (90+2')
Haidara (17'), Ndiaye (25'), Lees-Melou (79')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Youte Kinkoue (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Le Havre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Salzburg 0-4 Brest
Tuesday, October 1 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Le Havre

All competitions

Last Game: Le Havre 0-3 Lille
Saturday, September 28 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 58.26%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 18.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.41%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Le Havre win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.

Result
Brest	Draw	Le Havre
58.26% ( 0.1)	23.62% ( -0.01)	18.12% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 46.76% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.27% (

-0.1)

52.72% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.64% (

-0.08)

74.36% (

0.08)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.13%

17.86% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.37% (

48.62% (

-0.01)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.93% (

-0.17)

43.07% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.65% (

-0.15)

79.35% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Brest 58.24%

Le Havre 18.12%

Draw 23.62%

Brest	Draw	Le Havre
1-0 @ 13.24% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 11.41% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.52% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 58.24%	1-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.72% Total : 23.62%	0-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.75% Total : 18.12%