Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5

Sep 22, 2024 at 4pm UK

Stade Francis-Le Ble

Brest
2 - 0
Toulouse

Balde (21'), Faivre (90+1')
Pereira Lage (34'), Roy (36')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Casseres Jr (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Brest 2-1 Sturm Graz
Thursday, September 19 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Toulouse

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Toulouse 2-0 Le Havre
Sunday, September 15 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 46.5%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 26.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Toulouse win it was 0-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.

Result
Brest	Draw	Toulouse
46.5% ( 0.38)	26.85% ( 0.07)	26.65% ( -0.45)

Both teams to score 47.8% (

-0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.34% (

-0.52)

56.66% (

0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.38% (

-0.42)

77.62% (

0.42)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.65% (

-0.05)

24.35% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.25% (

-0.07)

58.75% (

0.07)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.19% (

-0.66)

36.81% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.41% (

-0.66)

73.6% (

0.67)

Score Analysis

Brest 46.5%

Toulouse 26.65%

Draw 26.85%

Brest	Draw	Toulouse
1-0 @ 12.66% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.46% Total : 46.5%	1-1 @ 12.65% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.77% Total : 26.85%	0-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.81% Total : 26.65%