Ligue 1 Gameweek 5
Sep 22, 2024 4.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Francis-Le Ble
  • Mama Balde 21' goal
  • Mathias Pereira Lage 34' yellowcard
  • Eric Roy 36' redcard
  • Eric Roy 36' yellowcard
  • Romain Faivre 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Cristian Casseres Jr 19'

Brest vs Toulouse - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions
Last game
Sep 14, 2024 8.00pm
PSG 3 - 1 Brest
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Ludovic Ajorque

Toulouse

All competitions
Last game
Sep 15, 2024 4.00pm
Toulouse 2 - 0 Le Havre
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Zakaria Aboukhlal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 46.5%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 26.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Toulouse win it was 0-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.

Result

Brest 46.5% (+0.38)
Draw 26.85% (+0.08)
Toulouse 26.65% (-0.45)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.8% (-0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.34% (-0.53)
Under 2.5 56.66% (+0.53)
Over 3.5 22.38% (-0.43)
Under 3.5 77.62% (+0.43)
Over 4.5 9.74% (-0.26)
Under 4.5 90.26% (+0.26)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5 75.65% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 24.35% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 41.25% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 58.75% (+0.08)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5 63.19% (-0.66)
Under 0.5 36.81% (+0.66)
Over 1.5 26.41% (-0.67)
Under 1.5 73.6% (+0.67)

Score analysis

Brest 46.5%
Draw 26.85%
Toulouse 26.65%
Brest
1-0 @ 12.66% (+0.25)
2-0 @ 8.94% (+0.16)
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.21% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 4.21% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.05)
4-0 @ 1.49% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.49% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 46.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.65% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.96% (+0.18)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.09)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 26.85%
Toulouse
0-1 @ 8.96% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.32% (-0.12)
0-2 @ 4.48% (-0.08)
1-3 @ 2.11% (-0.08)
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.06)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 26.65%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 34
May 19, 2024 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Christian Mawissa 53' yellowcard
  • goal Mahdi Camara 48'
  • goal Jordan Amavi 54'
  • yellowcard Mathias Pereira Lage 79'
  • yellowcard Jordan Amavi 83'
  • goal Kenny Lala 90'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2023 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Francis-Le Ble
  • Mahdi Camara 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Lilian Brassier 70' yellowcard
  • Martin Satriano 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Stijn Spierings 10'
  • goal Frank Magri 27'
  • yellowcard Frank Magri 79'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 29
Apr 2, 2023 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Steve Mounie 33' goal
  • Jeremy Le Douaron 63' goal
  • Mahdi Camara 84' goal
  • goal Thijs Dallinga 10'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 19
Jan 15, 2023 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Zakaria Aboukhlal 65' goal
  • goal Steve Mounie 18'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 20
Jan 11, 2020 7.00pm
2
5
HT : 2 1
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Bafode Diakite 16' goal
  • Bafode Diakite 21' goal
  • William Vainqueur 84' yellowcard
  • goal Yoann Court 7'
  • goal Gaetan Charbonnier 72'
  • goal Gaetan Charbonnier 77'
  • goal Hiang'a Mbock 79'
  • goal Irvin Cardona 85'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 1
Aug 10, 2019 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Francis-Le Blé (Brest)
  • Mathias Autret 25' goal
  • goal Efthymios Koulouris 89'