Ligue 1 Gameweek 4
Toulouse
Sep 15, 2024 4.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
Le Havre
  • J 53' yellowcard
  • Shavy Babicka 70' goal
  • Yann Gboho 86' goal
  • yellowcard Arouna Sangante 57'

Toulouse vs Le Havre - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Last game
Aug 31, 2024 8.00pm
Toulouse 1 - 3 Marseille
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Zakaria Aboukhlal

Le Havre

All competitions
Last game
Sep 1, 2024 4.00pm
Le Havre 3 - 1 Auxerre
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Abdoulaye Toure

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.

Result

Toulouse 41.24% ▼ (-0.31)
Draw 27.75% ▲ (+0.16)
Le Havre 31.01% ▲ (+0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.63% ▼ (-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.96% ▼ (-0.51)
Under 2.5 58.04% ▲ (+0.51)
Over 3.5 21.28% ▼ (-0.41)
Under 3.5 78.72% ▲ (+0.41)
Over 4.5 9.08% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 4.5 90.92% ▲ (+0.24)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5 72.32% ▼ (-0.41)
Under 0.5 27.68% ▲ (+0.41)
Over 1.5 36.77% ▼ (-0.53)
Under 1.5 63.23% ▲ (+0.53)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5 65.86% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 0.5 34.13% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 1.5 29.17% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 1.5 70.83% ▲ (+0.17)

Score analysis

Toulouse 41.23%
Draw 27.74%
Le Havre 31.01%
Toulouse
1-0 @ 12.13% ▲ (+0.10)
2-1 @ 8.38% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 7.79% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.59% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 3.34% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 41.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.04% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 9.45% ▲ (+0.19)
2-2 @ 4.5% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.74%
Le Havre
0-1 @ 10.15% ▲ (+0.16)
1-2 @ 7.01% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.46% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 2.51% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 31.01%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 25
Le Havre
Mar 10, 2024 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Oceane
Toulouse
  • Christopher Operi 60' goal
  • Christopher Operi 84' yellowcard
  • Steve Ngoura 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kevin Keben 90'+5'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 11
Toulouse
Nov 5, 2023 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
Le Havre
  • Logan Costa 30' yellowcard
  • Thijs Dallinga 49' goal
  • Niklas Schmidt 45'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Josue Casimir 45'+2'
  • goal Mohamed Bayo 83'
  • yellowcard Rassoul N'Diaye 85'
  • goal Mohamed Bayo 90'+6'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 25
Toulouse
Feb 21, 2022 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Le Havre
  • Stijn Spierings 19' yellowcard
  • Rasmus Nicolaisen 23' goal
  • Ado Onaiwu 27' goal
  • Branco van den Boomen 48' goal
  • Rhys Healey 71' yellowcard
  • Nathan N'Goumou 80' goal
  • yellowcard Victor Lekhal 22'
  • yellowcard Alexandre Bonnet 47'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 7
Le Havre
Sep 13, 2021 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Toulouse
  • Khalid Boutaib 62' redcard
  • Quentin Cornette 67' goal
  • Victor Lekhal 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Anthony Rouault 13'
  • goal Ado Onaiwu 34'
  • yellowcard Ado Onaiwu 51'
  • yellowcard Rasmus Nicolaisen 55'
  • yellowcard Mikkel Desler 60'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 34
Le Havre
May 4, 2021 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Toulouse
  • Alexandre Bonnet 4' yellowcard
  • Alexandre Bonnet 60' redcard
  • Victor Lekhal 69' yellowcard
  • Khalid Boutaib 89' yellowcard
  • goal Kouadio Kone 28'
  • yellowcard Branco van den Boomen 47'
  • yellowcard Ruben Gabrielsen 70'
  • yellowcard Stijn Spierings 77'
  • yellowcard Sebastien Dewaest 83'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 16
Toulouse
Dec 19, 2020 2.00pm
4
3
HT : 3 1
FT
Le Havre
  • Rhys Healey 2' goal
  • Rhys Healey 12' goal
  • Amine Adli 31' goal
  • Kelvin Amian 60' yellowcard
  • Rhys Healey 81' yellowcard
  • Stijn Spierings 90'+8' goal
  • goal Alexandre Bonnet 19'
  • yellowcard Pierre Gibaud 29'
  • goal Umut Meras 50'
  • yellowcard Romain Basque 56'
  • goal Nabil Alioui 83'
  • yellowcard Umut Meras 90'+6'

Form Data

Toulouse 1 - 3 Marseille
Nice 1 - 1 Toulouse
Toulouse 0 - 0 Nantes
Toulouse 0 - 2 Valladolid
Espanyol 0 - 0 Toulouse
Girona 0 - 4 Toulouse
Le Havre 3 - 1 Auxerre
St Etienne 0 - 2 Le Havre
Le Havre 1 - 4 PSG
Le Havre 0 - 6 VfL Bochum
Le Havre 1 - 2 Red Star
Nijmegen 1 - 1 Le Havre