Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 6

Sep 28, 2024 at 6pm UK

Stade Oceane

Le Havre
0 - 3
Lille

Kechta (44'), Desmas (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-2)

David (23', 35', 79')
Andre (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Le Havre and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Havre

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Monaco 3-1 Le Havre
Sunday, September 22 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Lille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lille 3-3 Strasbourg
Saturday, September 21 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 45.81%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 27.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
Le Havre	Draw	Lille
27.94% ( -0.28)	26.24% ( -0.13)	45.81% ( 0.4)

Both teams to score 50.46% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.34% (

0.35)

53.65% (

-0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.85% (

0.29)

75.15% (

-0.3)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.85% (

-0.03)

34.14% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.16% (

-0.03)

70.83% (

0.02)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.63% (

0.34)

23.37% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.66% (

0.5)

57.34% (

-0.51)

Score Analysis

Le Havre 27.94%

Lille 45.81%

Draw 26.24%

Le Havre	Draw	Lille
1-0 @ 8.57% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.27% Total : 27.94%	1-1 @ 12.46% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.24%	0-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.06% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 8.43% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 4.39% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 4.09% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.81% Total : 45.81%