Ligue 1 Gameweek 6
Sep 28, 2024 6.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Stade Oceane
  • Yassine Kechta 44' yellowcard
  • Arthur Desmas 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Jonathan David 23'
  • goal Jonathan David 35'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Andre 68'
  • goal Jonathan David 79'

Le Havre vs Lille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Havre

All competitions
Last game
Sep 22, 2024 2.00pm
Monaco 3 - 1 Le Havre
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Abdoulaye Toure

Lille

All competitions
Last game
Sep 21, 2024 4.00pm
Lille 3 - 3 Strasbourg
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Jonathan David

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 45.81%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 27.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result

Le Havre 27.94% (-0.28)
Draw 26.24% (-0.14)
Lille 45.81% (+0.41)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.46% (+0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.34% (+0.36)
Under 2.5 53.65% (-0.36)
Over 3.5 24.85% (+0.30)
Under 3.5 75.15% (-0.31)
Over 4.5 11.26% (+0.19)
Under 4.5 88.73% (-0.20)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5 65.85% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 34.14% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 29.16% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 70.83% (+0.03)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5 76.63% (+0.35)
Under 0.5 23.37% (-0.35)
Over 1.5 42.66% (+0.50)
Under 1.5 57.34% (-0.51)

Score analysis

Le Havre 27.94%
Draw 26.24%
Lille 45.81%
Le Havre
1-0 @ 8.57% (-0.13)
2-1 @ 6.7% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 4.61% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 2.4% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.74% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.65% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 27.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.46% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 7.98% (-0.12)
2-2 @ 4.87% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.24%
Lille
0-1 @ 11.59% (-0.06)
1-2 @ 9.06% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 8.43% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 4.39% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 4.09% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.36% (+0.04)
1-4 @ 1.6% (+0.05)
0-4 @ 1.49% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 45.81%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 22
Feb 17, 2024 4.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
  • Jonathan David 14' goal
  • Nabil Bentaleb 36' yellowcard
  • Jonathan David 44' goal
  • Jonathan David 49' goal
  • Hakon Arnar Haraldsson 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gautier Lloris 18'
  • yellowcard Abdoulaye Toure 65'
  • yellowcard Christopher Operi 83'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 7
Oct 1, 2023 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Oceane
  • goal Edon Zhegrova 40'
  • goal Yoann Salmier 52' (OG)