Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 45.81%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 27.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.