Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5

Sep 21, 2024 at 4pm UK

Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Lille
3 - 3
Strasbourg

Zhegrova (15', 27'), David (84' pen.)
Andre (64'), Diakite (70')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Santos (30'), Emegha (42'), Nanasi (66')
Sow (7'), Senaya (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Lille
Tuesday, September 17 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Strasbourg

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Strasbourg 1-1 Angers
Sunday, September 15 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 56.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Lille	Draw	Strasbourg
56.19% ( -0.29)	22.71% ( 0.2)	21.1% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 54.36% (

-0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.96% (

-0.78)

45.04% (

0.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.61% (

-0.76)

67.39% (

0.75)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.15% (

-0.37)

15.84% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.96% (

-0.69)

45.03% (

0.68)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.6% (

-0.37)

35.39% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.84% (

-0.38)

72.16% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

Lille 56.18%

Strasbourg 21.1%

Draw 22.7%

Lille	Draw	Strasbourg
1-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 6.07% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.42% Total : 56.18%	1-1 @ 10.73% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.7%	0-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 1.93% Total : 21.1%