Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 58.07%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 19.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Le Havre win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.