Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 33.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Monaco win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Auxerre | Draw | Monaco |
| 40.4% ( | 25.87% ( | 33.73% |
| Both teams to score 54.28% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.06% ( | 49.93% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.08% ( | 71.92% ( |
| Auxerre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.6% ( | 24.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.18% ( | 58.82% ( |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.81% ( | 28.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.11% ( | 63.88% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Auxerre | Draw | Monaco |
| 1-0 @ 9.7% 2-1 @ 8.67% 2-0 @ 6.84% 3-1 @ 4.07% 3-0 @ 3.22% 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 4-1 @ 1.44% 4-0 @ 1.14% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.84% Total : 40.4% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 6.88% ( 2-2 @ 5.49% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 8.71% ( 1-2 @ 7.78% 0-2 @ 5.51% 1-3 @ 3.28% 0-3 @ 2.33% 2-3 @ 2.32% ( 1-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.76% Total : 33.73% |