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Toulouse
Nantes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 2
Aug 25, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
AJ Auxerre

Nantes
2 - 0
Auxerre

Simon (14', 14'), Guirassy (90+6')
Zeze (63'), Douglas (79')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Raveloson (20')
Onaiwu (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toulouse 0-0 Nantes
Sunday, August 18 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Auxerre 2-1 Nice
Sunday, August 18 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 37.87%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
NantesDrawAuxerre
35.89% (0.944 0.94)26.24% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)37.87% (-0.953 -0.95)
Both teams to score 53.4% (0.074999999999996 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.78% (0.052 0.05)51.21% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.94% (0.045999999999999 0.05)73.05% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.51% (0.59299999999999 0.59)27.49% (-0.596 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.01% (0.76 0.76)62.99% (-0.762 -0.76)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.65% (-0.505 -0.5)26.35% (0.501 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.51% (-0.677 -0.68)61.49% (0.675 0.67)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 35.89%
    Auxerre 37.87%
    Draw 26.23%
NantesDrawAuxerre
1-0 @ 9.35% (0.135 0.14)
2-1 @ 8.06% (0.136 0.14)
2-0 @ 6.04% (0.186 0.19)
3-1 @ 3.47% (0.115 0.12)
3-0 @ 2.6% (0.121 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.044 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.12% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 35.89%
1-1 @ 12.47%
0-0 @ 7.24% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.37% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.23%
0-1 @ 9.66% (-0.161 -0.16)
1-2 @ 8.32% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-2 @ 6.44% (-0.202 -0.2)
1-3 @ 3.7% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-3 @ 2.87% (-0.132 -0.13)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.23% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 37.87%

How you voted: Nantes vs Auxerre

Nantes
55.8%
Draw
28.8%
Auxerre
15.4%
52
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 31
Auxerre
2-1
Nantes
Jubal (5' pen.), Da Costa (43')
Mohamed (55')
Jan 1, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 17
Nantes
1-0
Auxerre
Coco (74')
Dec 17, 2013 7.55pm
Fourth Round
Nantes
1-0
Auxerre
Aristeguieta (75')
Deaux (81')