Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 56.98%. A win for Brest had a probability of 21.63% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.43%) and 1-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-2 (5.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.