Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 6

Sep 29, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)

Toulouse
1 - 2
Lyon

Gboho (14', 14')
Donnum (58'), Casseres Jr (87')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Nicolaisen (28' og.), Fofana (90+5')
Veretout (10'), Caleta-Car (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Brest 2-0 Toulouse
Sunday, September 22 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Lyon

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lyon 2-0 Olympiacos
Thursday, September 26 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 36.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-0 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lyon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lyon.

Result
Toulouse	Draw	Lyon
36.69% ( -0.36)	25.69% ( 0.11)	37.62% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 55.32% (

-0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.21% (

-0.52)

48.78% (

0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.11% (

-0.47)

70.88% (

0.47)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.12% (

-0.44)

25.88% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.14% (

-0.61)

60.86% (

0.6)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.63% (

-0.1)

25.36% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.84% (

-0.14)

60.16% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Toulouse 36.69%

Lyon 37.62%

Draw 25.69%

Toulouse	Draw	Lyon
1-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 6% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.48% Total : 36.69%	1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.69%	0-1 @ 9% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 3.82% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 37.62%