/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Ftoulog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flyolog.png)
-
Yann Gboho
14'
-
Yann Gboho
14'
-
Aron Donnum
58'
-
Cristian Casseres Jr
87'
-
Jordan Veretout
10'
-
Rasmus Nicolaisen
28'
(OG)
-
Duje Caleta-Car
48'
-
Malick Fofana
90'+5'
Toulouse vs Lyon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F39%2Fpierre-sage.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 36.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-0 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lyon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lyon.
Result
Toulouse
36.69%
▼
(-0.37)
Draw
25.69%
▲
(+0.12)
Lyon
37.62%
▲
(+0.25)
Both Teams to Score:
55.32%
▼
(-0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.21%
▼
(-0.52)
Under 2.5
48.78%
▲
(+0.52)
Over 3.5
29.11%
▼
(-0.48)
Under 3.5
70.88%
▲
(+0.48)
Over 4.5
14.06%
▼
(-0.33)
Under 4.5
85.93%
▲
(+0.33)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5
74.12%
▼
(-0.45)
Under 0.5
25.88%
▲
(+0.45)
Over 1.5
39.14%
▼
(-0.61)
Under 1.5
60.86%
▲
(+0.61)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5
74.63%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 0.5
25.36%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 1.5
39.84%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 1.5
60.16%
▲
(+0.15)
Score analysis
Toulouse
36.69%
Draw
25.69%
Lyon
37.62%
Toulouse
1-0
@
8.87%
▲
(+0.08)
2-1 @ 8.23% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 6% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.71% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.06)
4-1 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 36.69%
2-1 @ 8.23% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 6% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.71% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.06)
4-1 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 36.69%
Draw
1-1
@
12.17%
▲
(+0.08)
0-0 @ 6.56% ▲ (+0.14)
2-2 @ 5.64% ▼ (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.69%
0-0 @ 6.56% ▲ (+0.14)
2-2 @ 5.64% ▼ (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.69%
Lyon
0-1
@
9%
▲
(+0.17)
1-2 @ 8.35% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 6.18% ▲ (+0.10)
1-3 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.82% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.04)
1-4 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 37.62%
1-2 @ 8.35% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 6.18% ▲ (+0.10)
1-3 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.82% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.04)
1-4 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 37.62%