/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flyolog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmarlog.png)
-
Clinton Mata
45'+1'
-
Duje Caleta-Car
53'
-
Alexandre Lacazette
59'
-
Rayan Cherki
90'+3'
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Duje Caleta-Car
90'+3'
-
Rayan Cherki
90'+4'
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Leonardo Balerdi
1'
-
Leonardo Balerdi
5'
-
Roberto De Zerbi
45'+8'
-
Pol Lirola
69'
-
Ulisses Garcia
82'
-
Neal Maupay
90'+3'
-
Jon Rowe
90'+5'
Lyon vs Marseille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F37%2Froberto-de-zerbi.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 34.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.86%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Lyon win was 2-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result
Lyon
34.37%
▲
(+0.14)
Draw
24.21%
▼
(-0.02)
Marseille
41.41%
▼
(-0.11)
Both Teams to Score:
60.22%
▲
(+0.10)
Goals
Over 2.5
57.7%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 2.5
42.31%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 3.5
35.29%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 3.5
64.71%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 4.5
18.49%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 4.5
81.52%
▼
(-0.08)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5
75.83%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 0.5
24.17%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 1.5
41.51%
▲
(+0.19)
Under 1.5
58.49%
▼
(-0.18)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5
79.41%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
20.59%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
46.87%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
53.13%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
Lyon
34.37%
Draw
24.21%
Marseille
41.41%
Lyon
2-1
@
7.93%
▲
(+0.02)
1-0 @ 7.07% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.02% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 34.37%
1-0 @ 7.07% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.02% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 34.37%
Draw
1-1
@
11.16%
▼
(-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.27% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.98% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.21%
2-2 @ 6.27% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.98% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.21%
Marseille
1-2
@
8.83%
▼
(-0.02)
0-1 @ 7.86% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 6.21% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 4.65% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.3% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.3% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 41.41%
0-1 @ 7.86% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 6.21% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 4.65% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.3% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.3% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 41.41%