Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 7

Oct 6, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stade Gerard Houllier

Lyon
2 - 0
Nantes

Tagliafico (22'), Pallois (54' og.)
Tagliafico (66')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cozza (61'), Douglas (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Rangers 1-4 Lyon
Thursday, October 3 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Nantes

All competitions

Last Game: Nantes 2-2 St Etienne
Sunday, September 29 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 50.18%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 26.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-2 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lyon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lyon.

Result
Lyon	Draw	Nantes
50.18% ( 0.48)	23.45% ( 0.03)	26.37% ( -0.51)

Both teams to score 58.21% (

-0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.1% (

-0.57)

42.9% (

0.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.7% (

-0.56)

65.3% (

0.57)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.79% (

-0.03)

17.21% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.51% (

-0.06)

47.49% (

0.07)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.31% (

-0.68)

29.69% (

0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.26% (

-0.83)

65.74% (

0.84)

Score Analysis

Lyon 50.18%

Nantes 26.37%

Draw 23.44%

Lyon	Draw	Nantes
2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.48% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.95% Total : 50.18%	1-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.44%	1-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.21% Total : 26.37%