Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 10

Nov 3, 2024 at 4pm UK

Stade Oceane

Le Havre
1 - 0
Montpellier

Toure (73' pen.)
Lloris (31'), Salmier (46')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ferri (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Le Havre and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Havre

All competitions

Last Game: Rennes 1-0 Le Havre
Friday, October 25 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Last Game: Montpellier 0-3 Toulouse
Sunday, October 27 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Le Havre in this match.

Result
Le Havre	Draw	Montpellier HSC
39.27% ( 0.81)	25.4% ( -0.18)	35.33% ( -0.61)

Both teams to score 56.21% (

0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.4% (

0.77)

47.6% (

-0.76)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.2% (

0.71)

69.8% (

-0.7)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.06% (

0.77)

23.94% (

-0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.83% (

1.09)

58.17% (

-1.08)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.9% (

0.01)

26.11% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.84% (

0.01)

61.17% (

Score Analysis

Le Havre 39.27%

Montpellier HSC 35.33%

Draw 25.4%

Le Havre	Draw	Montpellier HSC
1-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.09% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.97% Total : 39.27%	1-1 @ 12% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.4%	0-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 8.06% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.32% Total : 35.33%