Ligue 1 Gameweek 9
Oct 27, 2024 4.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 5
FT Stade de la Mosson
  • Arnaud Nordin 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Teji Savanier 51' redcard
  • goal Zakaria Aboukhlal 5'
  • goal Zakaria Aboukhlal 5'
  • goal Zakaria Aboukhlal 8'
  • goal Zakaria Aboukhlal 8'
  • goal Joshua King 27'
  • yellowcard Cristian Casseres Jr 59'
  • yellowcard Mark McKenzie 66'

Montpellier HSC vs Toulouse - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last game
Oct 20, 2024 7.45pm
Montpellier 0 - 5 Marseille
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Arnaud Nordin

Toulouse

All competitions
Last game
Oct 20, 2024 4.00pm
Toulouse 1 - 1 Angers
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Zakaria Aboukhlal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.

Result

Montpellier HSC 34.03% (-0.20)
Draw 25.22% (+0.40)
Toulouse 40.75% (-0.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.57% (-1.43)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.99% (-1.84)
Under 2.5 47% (+1.83)
Over 3.5 30.75% (-1.74)
Under 3.5 69.25% (+1.73)
Over 4.5 15.19% (-1.24)
Under 4.5 84.8% (+1.23)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5 73.41% (-0.99)
Under 0.5 26.59% (+0.99)
Over 1.5 38.18% (-1.33)
Under 1.5 61.81% (+1.33)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5 77.07% (-0.90)
Under 0.5 22.93% (+0.90)
Over 1.5 43.3% (-1.34)
Under 1.5 56.69% (+1.33)

Score analysis

Montpellier HSC 34.03%
Draw 25.21%
Toulouse 40.75%
Montpellier HSC
1-0 @ 8.08% (+0.39)
2-1 @ 7.88% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 5.35% (+0.12)
3-1 @ 3.48% (-0.12)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.16)
3-0 @ 2.36% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.08)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 34.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.89% (+0.28)
0-0 @ 6.1% (+0.46)
2-2 @ 5.8% (-0.19)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.12)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.21%
Toulouse
0-1 @ 8.98% (+0.45)
1-2 @ 8.76% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 6.61% (+0.16)
1-3 @ 4.3% (-0.14)
0-3 @ 3.25% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.18)
1-4 @ 1.58% (-0.10)
0-4 @ 1.2% (-0.04)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.10)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 40.75%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 32
May 3, 2024 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Thijs Dallinga 34' goal
  • Rasmus Nicolaisen 54' yellowcard
  • Moussa Diarra 60' yellowcard
  • Rasmus Nicolaisen 83' redcard
  • yellowcard Teji Savanier 26'
  • goal Teji Savanier 27'
  • yellowcard Leo Leroy 44'
  • redcard Teji Savanier 65'
  • goal Khalil Fayad 81'
  • yellowcard Yann Karamoh 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Khalil Fayad 90'+6'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 10
Oct 29, 2023 2.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stade de la Mosson
  • Akor Adams 13' goal
  • Akor Adams 13' goal
  • Khalil Fayad 30' yellowcard
  • Boubakar Kouyate 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Khalil Fayad 63' goal
  • Akor Adams 72' goal
  • yellowcard Gabriel Suazo 34'
  • yellowcard Frank Magri 38'
  • yellowcard Niklas Schmidt 63'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 30
Apr 9, 2023 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Elye Wahi 88' goal
  • goal Thijs Dallinga 31'
  • goal Fares Chaibi 85'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 9
Oct 2, 2022 2.00pm
4
2
HT : 3 1
FT
  • Stijn Spierings 18' goal
  • Zakaria Aboukhlal 24' goal
  • Fares Chaibi 31' goal
  • Brecht Dejaegere 48' goal
  • goal Nicolas Cozza 7'
  • goal Elye Wahi 68'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 38
May 23, 2020 7.00pm
Stadium de Toulouse
Ligue 1 Gameweek 13
Nov 10, 2019 4.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade de la Mosson (Montpellier)
  • Joris Chotard 34' yellowcard
  • Gaetan Laborde 43' goal
  • Damien Le Tallec 59' goal
  • Teji Savanier 75' goal
  • Solomon Sambia 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Sangare 39'
  • yellowcard William Vainqueur 41'