Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 9

Oct 27, 2024 at 4pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
0 - 3
Toulouse

Nordin (45+2')

FT(HT: 0-5)

Aboukhlal (5', 5', 8', 8'), King (27')
Casseres Jr (59'), McKenzie (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Last Game: Montpellier 0-5 Marseille
Sunday, October 20 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Toulouse

All competitions

Last Game: Toulouse 1-1 Angers
Sunday, October 20 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Toulouse
34.03% ( -0.19)	25.22% ( 0.39)	40.75% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 56.57% (

-1.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.99% (

-1.84)

47% (

1.83)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.75% (

-1.74)

69.25% (

1.73)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.41% (

-0.99)

26.59% (

0.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.18% (

-1.33)

61.81% (

1.32)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.07% (

-0.9)

22.93% (

0.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.3% (

-1.34)

56.69% (

1.33)

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 34.03%

Toulouse 40.75%

Draw 25.21%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Toulouse
1-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.18% Total : 34.03%	1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.45) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.19) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.21%	0-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.44) 1-2 @ 8.76% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 4.3% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.18% Total : 40.75%