/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flillog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Ftoulog.png)
-
Andre Gomes
8'
-
Alexsandro
15'
-
Angel Gomes
57'
-
Mitchel Bakker
72'
-
Tiago Santos
90'+7'
-
Zakaria Aboukhlal
39'
-
Djibril Sidibe
44'
-
Frank Magri
90'+3'
Lille vs Toulouse - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F36%2Fjonathan-david.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 49.37%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
Result
Lille
49.37%
▲
(+0.27)
Draw
24.1%
▼
(-0.06)
Toulouse
26.53%
▼
(-0.22)
Both Teams to Score:
56.14%
▲
(+0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
54.3%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 2.5
45.7%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 3.5
31.98%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 3.5
68.02%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 4.5
16.06%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 4.5
83.94%
▼
(-0.07)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5
81.41%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 0.5
18.58%
▼
(-0.15)
Over 1.5
50.14%
▲
(+0.25)
Under 1.5
49.86%
▼
(-0.24)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5
68.95%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 0.5
31.04%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 1.5
32.64%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 1.5
67.36%
▲
(+0.14)
Score analysis
Lille
49.37%
Draw
24.09%
Toulouse
26.53%
Lille
1-0
@
9.71%
▲
(+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.56% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.17% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.36% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 4.58% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.14% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.26% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 49.37%
2-1 @ 9.56% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.17% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.36% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 4.58% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.14% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.26% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 49.37%
Draw
1-1
@
11.35%
▼
(-0.04)
0-0 @ 5.77% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.59% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.09%
0-0 @ 5.77% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.59% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.09%
Toulouse
0-1
@
6.75%
▼
(-0.05)
1-2 @ 6.64% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.95% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.59% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 26.53%
1-2 @ 6.64% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.95% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.59% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 26.53%