Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5

Sep 22, 2024 at 4pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
3 - 2
Auxerre

Adams (65', 75'), Sagnan (71')
Nzingoula (33'), Omeragic (65'), Adams (76')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Traore (18'), Onaiwu (72')
Owusu (48'), Sinayoko (57'), Diomande (61'), Perrin (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Rennes 3-0 Montpellier
Sunday, September 15 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Auxerre

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Auxerre 0-3 Monaco
Saturday, September 14 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 37.26%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 36.74% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Auxerre
37.26% ( 0.28)	25.99% ( 0.06)	36.74% ( -0.35)

Both teams to score 54.27% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.87% (

-0.28)

50.13% (

0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.9% (

-0.25)

72.1% (

0.25)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.81% (

0.03)

26.18% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.73% (

0.04)

61.27% (

-0.04)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.52% (

-0.33)

26.48% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.33% (

-0.44)

61.67% (

0.44)

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 37.26%

Auxerre 36.74%

Draw 25.99%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Auxerre
1-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 37.26%	1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.99%	0-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.2% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.32% Total : 36.74%