Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 29
Apr 19, 2025 at 7.15pm UK
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
Rakow

Szczecin
1 - 0
Rakow

Wahlqvist (37')
Borges (24')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ivi (49'), Svarnas (60'), Carlos (61'), Barath (89')
Otieno (16')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Pogon Szczecin and Rakow Czestochowa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pogon Szczecin

All competitions
Last Game: Piast Gliwice 2-1 Szczecin
Sunday, April 13 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Rakow Czestochowa

All competitions
Last Game: Rakow 2-1 Radomiak Radom
Saturday, April 12 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Pogon Szczecin had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Pogon Szczecin win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
Pogon SzczecinDrawRakow Czestochowa
34.47% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)25.45% (0.016000000000002 0.02)40.07% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 55.86% (-0.055 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.02% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)47.97% (0.068999999999996 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.85% (-0.064 -0.06)70.15% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Pogon Szczecin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.21% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)26.79% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.93% (-0.073 -0.07)62.07% (0.073 0.07)
Rakow Czestochowa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.3% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)23.7% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.18% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)57.81% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Pogon Szczecin 34.47%
    Rakow Czestochowa 40.07%
    Draw 25.44%
Pogon SzczecinDrawRakow Czestochowa
1-0 @ 8.36% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.93% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.51% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 3.48% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 34.47%
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 6.35% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.71% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.44%
0-1 @ 9.14% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.67% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 6.58% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.16% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 3.16% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.74% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.5% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.14% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 40.07%

Head to Head
Oct 20, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 12
Rakow
1-0
Szczecin
Rodin (90+13')
Rodin (90+11')
Rodin (90+14')

Keramitsis (65')
May 11, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 32
Rakow
2-1
Szczecin
Papanikolaou (8'), Crnac (20')
Tudor (40'), Crnac (62')
Grosicki (74')
Malec (25'), Gustafsson (30'), Zech (51'), Koutris (68'), Gorgon (90+3')
Koutris (90+7')
Nov 12, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 15
Szczecin
1-1
Rakow
Gorgon (67')
Nowak (54')
Plavsic (44'), Berggren (56')