Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 32
May 12, 2025 at 6pm UK
Moravski Stadion

Puszcza Niepolomice
2 - 3
Stal Mielec

Barkovskiy (51', 51'), Wlazlo (70' og., 70' og.)
Stepien (21'), Stepien (21'), Stec (53'), Stec (53'), Abramowicz (56'), Abramowicz (56')
FT(HT: 0-6)
Guillaumier (5', 5'), Matras (25', 25'), Wlazlo (37' pen., 37' pen.)
Knap (59'), Knap (59')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Puszcza Niepolomice and Stal Mielec.

Form, Standings, Stats

Puszcza Niepolomice

All competitions
Last Game: Lech Poznan 8-1 Puszcza Niepolomice
Saturday, May 3 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Stal Mielec

All competitions
Last Game: Stal Mielec 0-2 Rakow
Saturday, May 3 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stal Mielec win with a probability of 38.42%. A win for Puszcza Niepolomice had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stal Mielec win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Puszcza Niepolomice win was 1-0 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stal Mielec would win this match.

Result
Puszcza NiepolomiceDrawStal Mielec
36.2% (1.058 1.06)25.38% (0.093 0.09)38.42% (-1.15 -1.15)
Both teams to score 56.37% (-0.192 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.58% (-0.30399999999999 -0.3)47.42% (0.303 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.36% (-0.281 -0.28)69.64% (0.28 0.28)
Puszcza Niepolomice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.48% (0.46299999999999 0.46)25.52% (-0.464 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.62% (0.629 0.63)60.38% (-0.628 -0.63)
Stal Mielec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.69% (-0.73399999999999 -0.73)24.31% (0.734 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.31% (-1.049 -1.05)58.69% (1.05 1.05)
Score Analysis
    Puszcza Niepolomice 36.2%
    Stal Mielec 38.42%
    Draw 25.38%
Puszcza NiepolomiceDrawStal Mielec
1-0 @ 8.47% (0.217 0.22)
2-1 @ 8.18% (0.144 0.14)
2-0 @ 5.79% (0.223 0.22)
3-1 @ 3.72% (0.114 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.025 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.63% (0.134 0.13)
4-1 @ 1.27% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 36.2%
1-1 @ 11.98% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.2% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 8.77% (-0.078000000000001 -0.08)
1-2 @ 8.47% (-0.145 -0.15)
0-2 @ 6.21% (-0.191 -0.19)
1-3 @ 4% (-0.157 -0.16)
0-3 @ 2.93% (-0.155 -0.16)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.41% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.04% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 38.42%

Head to Head
Nov 10, 2024 11.15am
Gameweek 15
Stal Mielec
2-0
Puszcza Niepolomice
Shkurin (67', 74')
Esselink (27')

Yakuba (20'), Craciun (57')
Feb 9, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 20
Stal Mielec
2-1
Puszcza Niepolomice
Shkurin (83'), Wlazlo (90+3')
Pingot (66'), Wlazlo (90+4')
Cholewiak (23')
Zych (73'), Yakuba (90+2')
Aug 7, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 3
Puszcza Niepolomice
1-0
Stal Mielec
Walski (65')
Siemaszko (41'), Hajda (42'), Majchrzak (75'), Serafin (80')

Hinokio (61'), Kochalski (65'), Wlazlo (68')
rhs 2.0


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