Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zaglebie Lubin win with a probability of 45.14%. A win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zaglebie Lubin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.