Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 30

Apr 28, 2025 at 6pm UK

Stadion Zaglebia Lubin

Zaglebie Lubin
2 - 2
Stal Mielec

Kurminowski (27'), Madrzyk (66' og.)
Kolan (8'), Szmyt (34'), Nalepa (43'), Radwanski (54')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Jaunzems (55'), Dadok (65')
Senger (83')

Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Zaglebie Lubin and Stal Mielec.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zaglebie Lubin

All competitions

Last Game: Jagiellonia 1-3 Zaglebie Lubin
Monday, April 21 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Stal Mielec

All competitions

Last Game: Stal Mielec 0-0 Gornik
Tuesday, April 22 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zaglebie Lubin win with a probability of 45.14%. A win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zaglebie Lubin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Zaglebie Lubin	Draw	Stal Mielec
45.14% ( 0.1)	26.51% ( 0.12)	28.35% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 49.95% (

-0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.54% (

-0.59)

54.46% (

0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.18% (

-0.49)

75.82% (

0.49)

Zaglebie Lubin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.96% (

-0.21)

24.04% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.69% (

-0.3)

58.31% (

0.3)

Stal Mielec Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.75% (

-0.48)

34.25% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.05% (

-0.52)

70.95% (

0.52)

Score Analysis

Zaglebie Lubin 45.13%

Stal Mielec 28.35%

Draw 26.5%

Zaglebie Lubin	Draw	Stal Mielec
1-0 @ 11.73% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( -0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 45.13%	1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.5%	0-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.74% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.26% Total : 28.35%