Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 28
Apr 14, 2025 at 6pm UK
Stadion Energa Gdansk

Gdansk
3 - 2
Stal Mielec

V'Yunnik (13'), Bobcek (72', 90+1'), Neugebauer (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Gerbowski (33'), Cavaleiro (42')
Esselink (47')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Lechia Gdansk and Stal Mielec.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lechia Gdansk

All competitions
Last Game: Widzew Lodz 2-0 Gdansk
Friday, April 4 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Stal Mielec

All competitions
Last Game: Stal Mielec 1-1 Cracovia
Friday, April 4 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lechia Gdansk win with a probability of 47.09%. A win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lechia Gdansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win was 0-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lechia Gdansk would win this match.

Result
Lechia GdanskDrawStal Mielec
47.09% (0.049999999999997 0.05)24.62% (0.033000000000001 0.03)28.29% (-0.081 -0.08)
Both teams to score 55.85% (-0.164 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.27% (-0.19 -0.19)46.73% (0.192 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.01% (-0.177 -0.18)68.99% (0.179 0.18)
Lechia Gdansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.08% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)19.92% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.94% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)52.06% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Stal Mielec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.75% (-0.155 -0.16)30.25% (0.159 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.58% (-0.191 -0.19)66.42% (0.19200000000001 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Lechia Gdansk 47.09%
    Stal Mielec 28.29%
    Draw 24.61%
Lechia GdanskDrawStal Mielec
1-0 @ 9.72% (0.061 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.38% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 7.84% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.22% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.04% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.7% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 47.09%
1-1 @ 11.62% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.03% (0.048 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.61% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.61%
0-1 @ 7.21% (0.027 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.95% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.31% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
1-3 @ 2.77% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.72% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 28.29%

How you voted: Gdansk vs Stal Mielec

Lechia Gdansk
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Stal Mielec
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 11.15am
Gameweek 11
Stal Mielec
2-1
Gdansk
Wlazlo (58'), Wolsztynski (90+2')
Knap (21'), Guillaumier (71')
Pila (38')
Pllana (12')