Polish Ekstraklasa
Gameweek
24
-
Rasmus Carstensen
21'
-
Daniel Hakans
22'
-
Patrik Walemark
54'
-
Afonso Sousa
58'
-
Rasmus Carstensen
68'
-
Robert Dadok
41'
-
Marvin Senger
50'
-
Alvis Jaunzems
90'+2'
Lech Poznan vs Stal Mielec - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 61.2%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 17.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Stal Mielec win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.
Result
Lech Poznan
61.2%
▲
(+0.12)
Draw
21.42%
▼
(-0.06)
Stal Mielec
17.37%
▼
(-0.06)
Both Teams to Score:
52.07%
▲
(+0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5
55.1%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 2.5
44.9%
▼
(-0.16)
Over 3.5
32.74%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 3.5
67.25%
▼
(-0.15)
Over 4.5
16.61%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 4.5
83.39%
▼
(-0.11)
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5
85.83%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 0.5
14.17%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 1.5
58.14%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 1.5
41.86%
▼
(-0.17)
Stal Mielec Goals
Over 0.5
60.66%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
39.34%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
23.96%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
76.04%
▼
(-0.03)
Score analysis
Lech Poznan
61.2%
Draw
21.42%
Stal Mielec
17.37%
Lech Poznan
1-0
@
10.89%
▼
(-0.04)
2-0 @ 10.64%
2-1 @ 9.93% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.93% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.47% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 61.2%
2-0 @ 10.64%
2-1 @ 9.93% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.93% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.47% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 61.2%
Draw
1-1
@
10.16%
▼
(-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.57% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.63% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 21.42%
0-0 @ 5.57% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.63% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 21.42%
Stal Mielec
0-1
@
5.2%
▼
(-0.04)
1-2 @ 4.74% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 17.37%
1-2 @ 4.74% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 17.37%
Head to Head
Polish Ekstraklasa
Gameweek
7
-
Adrian Bukowski
39'
-
Mateusz Matras
86'
-
Bert Esselink
90'
-
Dino Hotic
32'
-
Mikael Ishak
37'
-
Antoni Kozubal
83'
Polish Ekstraklasa
Gameweek
26
-
Bert Esselink
87'
-
Ion Gheorghe
90'+3'
Polish Ekstraklasa
Gameweek
9
-
Kristoffer Velde
37'
-
Filip Marchwinski
40'
-
Kristoffer Velde
44'
-
Maciej Domanski
23'